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Last Updated    March 29, 2006 10:56 AM

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April 29, 2005

This Data Just Wants to Be Public (Alan Wexelblat)

In the "better late than never" category, Celera Genomics Group - the for-profit arm of the race to sequence the human genome - has agreed to stop selling genetic information and put its data into the public domain. Without much fanfare (in fact the announcement was made in a regular quarterly earnings concall with investors and analysts) Celera announced that after July 1 it would contribute much of its DNA sequence data to public domain through the National Center for Biotechnology Information, a division of the National Institutes of Health.

The uses and abuses of genetic information are clearly shaping up to be one of the biggest legal and ethical battles of this century. It would be nice to mark this down as a moral victory for forces of free information, but the simple fact is that Celera couldn't make a profitable business of this. That may be due to the nature of the information or the immaturity of the marketplace. I believe we'll have to fight this battle several more times in the years to come.

Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 29, 2005 12:58 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Cultists taking over a monopoly?

"Mr. Reed's policies are not the policies of Washingtonians, nor should they be the policies of a world-class leader like Microsoft." On the heels of a controversial decision to take away its support of equal protection statutes for gays, bisexuals and lesbians, Microsoft continues its odd and seemingly inexhorable realignment with fundamentalist Christian moral policy with the payment of $20K per month to former Christian Coalition head Ralph Reed. What exactly does this man know about software, again?
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April 28, 2005

Verizon Killing Successful WiFi Program

Mixed in with various announcements from Verizon today was the little noticed news that they're going to phase out their WiFi offering in New York City in favor of increasing the 3G EV-DO wireless broadband offering from Verizon Wireless. This doesn't make very much sense at all. The two services don't really compete. The WiFi was offered free to subscribers of Verizon DSL as a way to take that connection around the city with them -- and it had been described as a success in that it reduced churn more than enough to pay for the program. EV-DO is a useful offering, but it still costs quite a bit, and isn't suitable as a DSL replacement. It sounds like the decision to do this was done from the incorrect belief that WiFi somehow competes with EV-DO when it really doesn't in most cases.
Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 28, 2005 11:21 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Comcast's Profit Quadruples

Steady rate hikes, on demand, pay off. The Associated Press reports that Comcast's profit has quadrupled compared to a year ago, and that the company has added 414,000 broadband customers, ending the first quarter with 7.4 million. In March, digital customers viewed more than 100 million..
Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 28, 2005 10:26 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

NY AG Sues Ad/Spyware Vendor

Intermix accused of sneaky installations. NY Attorney General Eliot Spitzer today announced his office would be suing Intermix, one of the Internet's larger ad/spyware outfits, for Surreptitious Installations. When rumors of an investigation surfaced, Intermix lawyers downplayed it with law..
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April 27, 2005

Guckert was at the White House even when there were no press briefings

Cory Doctorow: James Guckert, the fake journalist who was accredited to lob softballs at the Prez during press briefings, used to hang out at the White House all the time, even on days when there were no press-briefings scheduled, and he often didn't bother to sign the log book on his way out. All this and more from documents released by the Secret Service in response to a Freedom of Information request.
Guckert made more than two dozen excursions to the White House when there were no scheduled briefings. On many of these days, the Press Office held press gaggles aboard Air Force One—which raises questions about what Guckert was doing at the White House. On other days, the president held photo opportunities.

On at least fourteen occasions, Secret Service records show either the entry or exit time missing. Generally, the existing entry or exit times correlate with press conferences; on most of these days, the records show that Guckert checked in but was never processed out.

Dan Gillmor)
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Free money. Ask me how.

Need cash to make your own blockbuster? Edward Jay Epstein, author of The Big Picture, reveals how they do it: by taking a popular franchise and turning to immediate write-offs in tax shelters such as Germany, so that money starts coming in even before the movie enters production. No wonder we've been seeing so much crap as of late, with poor box office figures not hurting studios the way they really ought to.
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Video Game Sales Up 23 Percent

LOS ANGELES (Reuters) - Total U.S. sales of video game hardware, software and accessories rose 23 percent in the first quarter of 2005 to more than $2.2 billion, market research firm NPD Group said on Monday.
Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 27, 2005 01:07 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

An Episode Of Deadwood Would Last about a Minute

Text of approved Family Entertainment and Copyright Act here.

EFF discussion of bill here.

MPAA press release on new law here.

The Clearplay DVD playback device, which edits out objectionable material, is now clearly lawful as a result of a provision summarized here:

Title II: Exemption from Infringement for Skipping Audio and Video Content In Motion Pictures - Family Movie Act of 2005 - (Sec. 202) Creates an exemption from copyright infringement for: (1) the making imperceptible, by or at the direction of a private household, of limited portions of audio or video content of a motion picture during a performance in or transmitted to that household for private home viewing from an authorized copy of the motion picture; or (2) the creation or provision of technology that enables such editing, is designed and marketed for such use, creates no fixed copy of the altered version, and makes no changes, deletions or additions to commercial advertisements or promotional announcements that would otherwise be performed or displayed.

Amends the Trademark Act of 1946 to protect from liability for trademark infringement: (1) persons who engage in the above-referenced conduct; and (2) manufacturers of technology that enables such editing if notice is provided that the performance of the movie is altered from the director's or copyright holder's intended performance.

Clearplay device available here.

 

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GoDaddy Surpasses NSI As Top Registrar

GoDaddy has surpassed Network Solutions as the largest domain name registrar.  Via Internetnews.com

 

Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 27, 2005 12:58 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Yahoo Ties Up With Nokia

: Yahoo has made a big move in mobile content with this tie-up with Nokia..,a lot of its content is being put on the Nokia Series 60 smartphone. Moconews has more details...
News.com: The deal is another example of how handset makers are turning to Yahoo, Microsoft, AOL and other IM and browsing giants to spur cell phone use and sales of next-generation handsets.
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Skype tipping point? Yep Richard asked the questi...

Skype tipping point? Yep

Richard asked the question earlier in the week and was widely trackbacked, and here's a couple of more datapoints in answering the question. Verisign thinks there are 900m internet users globally, and Point Topic counts 150m broadband lines (registration required, but free and well worth the effort) at the end of 2004. At c.30m registered users, Skype would appear to have penetrated 20% of its addressable market, and with around 2m concurrent users, more than 1% of the world's broadband population is running Skype at any given time. What's more, if the 155m user figure for MSN Messenger in this Financial Times article is correct, then Skype is ahead of MSN in terms of addressable market penetration, and in a much shorter period of time. I'd call that a tipping point.

UPDATE: In the time it took to visit the restroom and get a cup of coffee, an astute reader has chimed in: "May be worth bearing in mind that Skype's addressable market (& MSN's for that matter) is quite a bit more than the 150m broadband subscribers (probably ADSL + cable). It also includes businesses, govts, schools/universities, cybercafes etc with leased-line or other fast, shared connections." True enough, and while my market definition perhaps overestimates the market penetration, my reader's response clearly highlights the greater potential.
Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 27, 2005 12:35 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Open Media Network Launches

OmnMike Homer, of Netscape and now Kontiki, and Marc Andreessen, of Netscape and now Opsware, have launched the Open Media Network, a free platform for the storage and distribution of public video and audio content. I spoke to Homer about the new network, which uses Kontiki's video serving system on the back end. The system is a mashup of sorts between Tivo and BitTorrent - it has a well considered interface and employes a secure P2P network for file distribution (it doesn't actually use Tivo or BitTorrent technology). Homer has seeded OMN with public TV content, podcasts, and more, but the service is free for anyone to use, and includes a Force of Many recommendation and filtering system. This is similar to OurMedia.org and Google's recently launched video project, but this has a slicker implementation (well, so far Google does not have an implementation!).

The system is not yet fully functional, but Homer seems dead serious about making it so. So is this just a publicity play for Kontiki? Perhaps, but it's an audacious (and expensive) one if so. And OMN is not without a business model, despite its non profit status - Homer plans to incorporate a payment system and keep a small percentage of the revenues to cover operational costs.

Chronicle, Cnet coverage.

Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 27, 2005 12:13 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Also: Google Ads Are Coming to RSS

Says Scoble. From a Longhorn blog he points to:

Q: What is Google doing?
A: I can't talk a whole lot about this yet. I can tell you that this is a pilot program for a new AdSense product that Google is looking into. Like all of their tests, it may disappear for a while, or be discontinued altogether.

yone else currently testing this technology?
A: No. Right now LonghornBlogs.com is the only site running this test. That will probably change in the next few days as their other alpha testers bring their systems online, but for now, we're it.

Q: How are you putting ads in the feeds?
A: I can't talk at all about implementation yet, because the system is not finalized. It's just a test to determine how well the current thought process works, the performance bottlenecks, and to discover any barriers to others using it. I CAN tell you that it isn't using Javascript.

Q: When can I start putting ads in MY feeds?
A: IF Google decides to launch this product, you can expect to see a wider public beta in the next few weeks.

Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 27, 2005 12:08 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Symantec's Weak And Expensive Anti-Spyware Offering

If you're entering a market that already has a lot of players, many of which give away their products for free, you would think that the product you offered shouldn't suck and shouldn't be expensive. Unfortunately, it doesn't look like the folks at Symantec figured that out. They're finally (a bit late, yes?) getting into the anti-spyware business, but the initial offering is quite weak and is expected to be somewhat costly compared to competitors. With Microsoft giving away a much better anti-spyware offering for free, it seems like the Symantec offering might be a tough sell. If anything, since the anti-spyware app will come bundled with other security apps, it looks like Symantec is betting on the the strategy that people will use it just because it's bundled with so many other offerings.
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April 26, 2005

How Verizon Accidentally Made Muni-WiFi Viable

Whoops. The battle over muni-broadband has received plenty of attention over the past couple of months, but what really set it off was the big debate over muni-WiFi in Philadelphia. Before that, the battle over muni-broadband was a much more focused topic that not many people paid attention to. One of the biggest haters of muni-broadband is Verizon, but as WiFi Net News points out, it appears that Verizon's vehement attacks against muni-broadband (in particular in Philadelphia) have only served to generate much more interest in the idea. Municipal IT staff are suddenly interested in an offering that they had never considered before Verizon worked so hard to make it front page news. Someone involved with the Philadelphia plan claims: "We get calls from municipal IT managers, saying 'our mayor has decided he wants to jump on the bandwagon.' It wasn't a bandwagon till Verizon made it one."
Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 26, 2005 11:59 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Spying on the Competition

Velocityscape has published GoogSpy which lets you see the Adwords terms your competitors are buying. You can get a list of all the companies bidding on a particular term, or get a list of terms per ...[]
Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 26, 2005 11:33 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Invitation to Blog: "Peripheral Visionaries' IP-Based Communications Policy Summit" in DC on May 4

Fellow members of the Blogsphere:

I wanted to encourage some of you to come to the "Peripheral Visionaries' IP-Based Communications Policy Summit" in DC on May 4. I'm growing increasingly more concerned that decisions about the future of the Internet and IP-based communications (that is to say, our collective future) are being made by policymakers without enough insight about what is going on outside the Beltway. We, however, will have no one to blame but ourselves if we do not step up and make every effort to participate in the policy debate. For this reason, I'm hosting the "Peripheral Visionaries' Policy Summit". The Summit is an effort to bring some outside-the-sandbox thinking to the inside-the-Beltway policy debate and to allow the technologists and policymakers to share their distinct perspectives. It is essential that the policymakers get a glimpse of the potential that IP technology has to transform the ways in which we communicate, well beyond simply the voice application that rides on an IP network. Frankly, it is also essential for all of us to get a better education on the ways of government and policy development.

We'll have representatives from all the major DC-based trade associations involved on all sides of the communications and Internet policy debates (so the inside-the-beltway policy makers and advocates will be well represented). We need a few more outside-the-Beltway technologists, innovators, thinkers and visionaries like you all to lend your voices at the Summit.

We've tried to bring the policymakers to us, but not enough leave the Beltway. So, we are coming to them.

The policymakers hold their Summits and not enough of us attend. We hold our Summits and not enough of them attend. I fear we're all, on both sides, just a bunch of trees falling in the forest with only ourselves to hear it. They need to hear from us, and, equally, we need to hear from them. Please consider joining us on May 4. It should be mutually edifying and, frankly, a lot of fun.

If you would like to blog the event, please drop me a line.

Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 26, 2005 11:04 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Doing Pro Journalists' Work For Them

The Raw Story, going where professional journalists have utterly failed to tread, peers further into the increasingly weird "Jeff Gannon" story. Two Democratic members of Congress apparently had to file a Freedom of Information request with the Secret Service to get logs of Gannon's comings and goings at the White House, and the logs are curious.

More here, including the documents themselves.

See also Salon's coverage.

Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 26, 2005 11:01 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

Apple's Latest Arrogant Stunt

  • Mercury News: Discord over Jobs biography. John Wiley & Sons, a leading publisher of technology books, said Apple Computer has removed all its titles from the shelves of Apple stores in apparent retaliation for the upcoming publication of a biography of Apple CEO Steve Jobs.
  • Well, this makes me all the o buy Wiley's books. How about you?
    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 26, 2005 10:58 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    How to blog anonymously, part II

    Software developer Justin Mason publishes a detailed tutorial on how to write an untraceable weblog, using IP address anonymizing software, a private email address and free weblog publishing tool Blogger. His methods involve a medium level of geekery - you'll...
    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 26, 2005 10:39 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    Sell-side reaction to Netflix results

    Pacific Growth Equities analyst Derek Brown sent a note to clients outlining his reaction to Netfix' (ticker: NFLX) earnings results. An extract:

    INVESTMENT SUMMARY   

    • Netflix posted solid Q1 results yesterday, including rev/EPS of $154M/($0.17) vs. our est of $151M/($0.31) and  consensus of $152M/($0.21) 
    • With Q1 trends generally in line, focus will fall on disappointing guidance, which calls for lower ASPs, higher SAC,  and a one-quarter delay of profitability 
    • We are adjusting our ests to reflect competitive pressures mgmt’s outlook, while maintaining our Equal Weight  rating.   

    VALUATION AND RECOMMENDATION   

    Netflix currently trades at 2005/2006 EV/Sales ratios of 0.7x and 0.5x. While we remain enamored with the opportunity  being addressed by Netflix and see some reason for optimism in light of early consumer reaction to the Company’s lower  price point, we continue to suggest a measured approach to the stock in light of current competitive dynamics in the online  DVD rental category. Accordingly, we maintain an Equal Weight rating on Netflix’s shares and suggest that investors  wait for clear signs of traction in the Company’s latest strategic initiatives and/or changes in the competitive landscape  before establishing or adding to positions in the name.   

    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 26, 2005 10:37 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    Battle For MCI: Qwest could boost bid to $32 a share

    The New York Times reports that if Verizon decides to match its $9.75 billion bid for MCI, then the mountain bell operator could raise its bid to $32 a share, or possibly higher. I have been calling this "the madness" for a while and now NYT has come to that conclusion. Perhaps more shareholders will [...]
    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 26, 2005 10:27 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    April 25, 2005

    $10B Annual Tab for Spreadsheet Errors?

    theodp writes "According to PWC and KPMG, more than 90% of corporate spreadsheets have material errors in them. With each error costing between $10K and 100K per month, one expert estimates corporate America loses in excess of $10B annually through the misuse and abuse of spreadsheets." From the article: "The key point about spreadsheets is that you need to know which ones are critical to your business, which ones are merely important and which ones you do not have to bother too much about. Once you know that, you can start to apply appropriate policies depending on the criticality of the spreadsheet involved."
    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 25, 2005 01:02 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    Web Based Torrent Searcher

    "The developers of Torrent Searcher has developed a new web based Torrent Searcher. With this Torrent Searcher it is possible to search for torrents on a lot of torrent sites. Now many people don't have to add all the torrent websites to their favourites but only need to go to http://webbased.foogle.be."
    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 25, 2005 01:00 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    More companies join HD-DVD/Blu-ray peace talks

    HD DVD

    Giving us slightly more hope that we’re actually going to pull back from the abyss that would be a next-gen DVD format war, more manufacturers are joining Sony and Toshiba’s peace talks over how to fuse Blu-ray and HD-DVD into a single standard. Now that fellow heavyweights Matsushita and Philips are in there it sounds like Sony and Toshiba are finally getting past all the fronting and posturing and starting to hammer out the serious details of a unified format, and are even beginning to brief the big movie studios about the details of a possible new format. There are a lot of reasons why things might not work (besides all the ego stuff, there are technical reasons for whyblu-ray combining Blu-ray and HD-DVD would prove difficult), but we can’t help but be optimistic, you know? Everyone forgets that back in 1995 there were two competing formats for the original DVD, but Sony and Toshiba managed sort things out back then, so it’s not like they’ve never figured out how to compromise before (though you’d think they would have learned from the past).

    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 25, 2005 12:52 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    Gandhinagar: The World's First Solar City

    Gandhinagar, the capital of Gujarat, has announced plans to become the world's first "solar city," meeting essentially all of its electricity needs through solar power:

    "The proposed ambitious plan would create the state capital as a first ‘solar city’ in India where the major necessities of power will be fulfilled through non-conventional sources of energy. At present, Gandhinagar, the base of major state government establishments, is consuming over four megawatt power every day. With implementation of proposed plan the dependency of the state capital from the electricity power would be reduced to the negligible levels,” said S B Patil, deputy director [of the Gujarat Energy Development Agency]

    (via our allies at TriplePundit

    (Posted by Alex Steffen in QuickChanges at 11:31 AM)

    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 25, 2005 12:44 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    French court rules in favor of DVD copying

    dvd

    Still trying to find something in English to properly confirm all the details about this, but apparently a French court has ruled that adding anti-copying mechanisms to a DVD violates the rights consumers have to make private copies of media that they’ve bought and paid for. Reportedly the court has given the company that released the film in question one month to provide the guy who sued them with an unprotected DVD; it’s not entirely clear whether this ruling applies to every DVD sold in France or just that one copy of Mulholland Drive this guy was trying to dub. Either way, expect the film industry to throw its entire weight behind getting this ruling overturned.

    [Via BoingBoing]

    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 25, 2005 12:38 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    Venture Investments in Media & Ent, in Q4 2004

    : Another analysis by PwC, this time with venture investment data in the media and entertainment sector in Q4 of 2004 (they're a bit late), with 35 deals valued at almost $340 million.
    Blowing away all its competition for deal of the quarter, eHarmony.com scored a whopping $110 million in financing or 32% of all the funding for the sector for the quarter.
    Internet Content dominated the quarter's deals, with 57%, or 20 deals. Coming in a distant second was Commercial Communications with eight deals or 23% of the total. Entertainment and Leisure and Internet E-Commerce had four and three deals, respectively.
    The VC/M&A channel is sponsored by DeSilva & Phillips
    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 25, 2005 12:33 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    Entertainment Industry One Step Closer To Running Law Enforcement

    Not only does the entertainment industry often see themselves as above the law -- it seems like they want to own the law. We're not just talking about all of the various campaign contributions they make to various politicians to push through an agenda to prop up their failing business model, but an ongoing effort to actually control law enforcement. The industry started by pushing to get the FBI to start enforcing civil (not criminal) cases of unauthorized file sharing, but continue to go beyond that. They hired the former head of the ATF to run their own "enforcement" agency, which has taken to dressing up like cops and intimidating people. Still, there's nothing like the real thing... so it appears that the MPAA has now been accused of paying police officers to shut down counterfeiters. Now, the counterfeiters are breaking the law -- so there's nothing wrong with tracking them down. However, paying cops to arrest people seems to go a bit beyond what any private organization should be allowed to do.
    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 25, 2005 12:27 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    Wi-Fi Liabilities

    Interesting law review article:

    Suppose you turn on your laptop while sitting at the kitchen table at home and respond OK to a prompt about accessing a nearby wireless Internet access point owned and operated by a neighbor. What potential liability may ensue from accessing someone else's wireless access point? How about intercepting wireless connection signals? What about setting up an open or unsecured wireless access point in your house or business? Attorneys can expect to grapple with these issues and other related questions as the popularity of wireless technology continues to increase.

    This paper explores several theories of liability involving both the accessing and operating of wireless Internet, including the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act, wiretap laws, as well as trespass to chattels and other areas of common law. The paper concludes with a brief discussion of key policy considerations.

    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 25, 2005 12:23 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    Largest Patent Settlements in History

    The settlement this week of the longstanding patent tussle between Gary Michelson and Medtronic in favor of Michelson for $1.35-billion got me thinking: What are the largest patent settlements on record? Well, here they are:Year Plaintiff Defendant Settlement ($mm) 2005...
    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 25, 2005 12:13 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    The MCI QWEST VERIZON Game of Chess Continues

    Om says Verizon should walk and likely spur a proxy fight. I say he's right.

    Start with the fact that Verizon now owns a huge chunk of MCI via the Carlos Slim sale, and then add in that MCI will have to cough up 250 Million smackers for breaking up the deal they agreed to and Verizon can play a waiting game, while taunting Qwest.

    I say Verizon should buy Bell South, the company that has the most to really offer Verizon--full control of the east and then the southeast. After that they can figure out with SBC what to do with the QWEST pest. In my view Verizon after Verizon and Bell South merge, the combined entity can sell off their stake in Cingular to SBC, buy out Vodafone for the same money leaving the USA with three RBOC's with national reach and Sprint being largely a data company with a wireless sister, Sprint PCS.

    What will then happen will be a page taken out of the cable operators. Territory or system swaps. SBC and Verizon can look at the map and swap assets that are inside the other's core territory. Phone service returns to some semblance of order on a local level, the cable operators become their target and they can begin really rolling the trucks for FTTP.

    QWEST, who was before SBC went after AT&T, the most network ready, remains the most network entrenched of the RBOC's behind SBC/AT&T. That means Verizon sets its sights on Sprint and gets the national network and smarts it lacks, or what it would have gotten from MCI, but acquires a few more key markts, the whole Latin American gateway market in Miami, the growing Carolina's tech sector, Atlanta which consistently is growing farther and wider and the rapidly growing Nashville area, all of which alone are worth the price of buying Bell South.

    While all of this is speculation, in my mind it makes total sense. Verizon can even sell back to Qwest for cash the Carlos Slim stock, at a hefty premium after they are done being the spoiler shareholder just by being irritating.

    In doing all this, Verizon eliminates Vodafone (Verizon Wireless via SBC buying out Cingular stake), widens their reach (BellSouth and Sprint), expands their market size (BellSouth) and gets a more advanced networking company (SPRINT). This is an investment banker's dream, and what's more, a large chunk of it gets fueled by other people's money.

    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 25, 2005 12:02 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    Perfectly and properly proprietary

    I like a controversy, because that’s when we learn things.

    In the ongoing debate I think we’ve lost sight of the original issue: separation of connectivity from applications. I’m a great proponent of this. Monopolies and markets above this in the stack concern me a lot less.

    Skype’s network is proprietary, closed, and — yes — potentially downright dangerous in the long term. But I believe in dealing with reality as we find it, rather than an ideal world we wish we could conjure up. Pedant’s note: the Skype API opens the client UI, not the Skype network.

    So far Skype isn’t particularly wedded to connectivity provision (with one exception). That means we don’t have to seek permission to use something else. Skype is a child of the Stupid Network, and self-centered as it may be we should be happy about this precocious toddler.

    Enough of the B movie argument. Time of the main billing.

    Being proprietary is no sin as long as the user is happy.

    I admire Microsoft, and think most people whinge too much about Bill & co’s gazilions. People have forgotten how much word processors and operating systems used to cost, and how painful it was shopping for them. In the old days of the 80s and early 90s, Microsoft took expensive software and made cheaper mass-market versions. That’s a good thing.

    When you buy MS Office, you’re not just buying a word processor. You’re buying the assurance that you can exchange editable documents with virtually any other business user. That’s a huge thing. With Windows, you’re buying the value of being able to employ almost anyone and know you don’t have to send them on a training course to understand what left-click and right-click might do. Microsoft’s officers and shareholders have only received a tiny sliver of the (without exaggeration) several trillions of dollars of value their standards have created.

    The pattern is quite well-established. Beyond the obvious Word and Windows, SQL Server and Great Plains are more recent examples of how Microsoft has attempted to nibble away at the underbelly of my former-former employer, Oracle, by lowering prices and increasing volume. Microsoft’s products are great value for money.

    I also admire Oracle. Proprietary? You betcha. But people haven’t been unloading their treasure onto Larry for nothing. Oracle does something very useful, and people are getting more value out of it than the price they pay, otherwise the revenue flow would stop. Open source alternatives, depite the hope and hype, have only nibbled at the fringes of the business. Oracle provide you with an assurance that your data will continue to be accessible for years to come, through many upgrade cycles of hardware, storage and OS. A vague hope that some voluntary collective (or tiny corporation with an experimental business model) will keep up the good work isn’t very reassuring in comparison.

    I admire Skype. Predicable? Yessir - that’s me! It is successful because it solves the user’s problem. And that problem is a lot more than getting someone’s current IP address and creating a session and duplex audio channel. When you access Skype, it just works. (Err… ah. Except I’m currently Skypeless because it refuses to install the latest upgrade. Err. Um. No matter. Ignore the man behind the curtain.)

    With Skype, there is no cognitive effort about having to purchase or provision the software. You can recommend it to friends without having to worry about them acquiring an incompatible version. Skype spreads because it does what the users want. It’s a cliche to say that people buy solutions to problems, not technology. Skype’s success suggests that those proffering alternatives failed to understand and solve the user’s problem. Some humility might be in order, not indignation.

    That means there was a branding or marketing problem that had to be solved. And probably a usability one. Oh, and a compatibility one. And a nationalisation one. And a commercial one. Get the picture?

    SIP does (almost) exactly what it says on the tin: it initiates (and tears down) sessions. No more, no less. The standard says nothing about the semantics of those sessions, or about stuff outside of the session protocol.

    For example, one essential ingredient of a personal communications system is a means of limiting inbound calls on your attention. For this we have buddy lists and protocols for asking to join other peoples’ lists. Skype unifies the semantics of this: you know exactly what the other person’s experience will be, and you know it will work. (Anyone responding “XMPP/Jabber” will be given a good slap and asked to re-read this section: the absence of a unifying client means the semantics are not well-defined at the user level because you don’t know how the message will be consumed and presented at the other end; only the syntax and semantics of the machine-to-machine protocol. Machines != people.)

    Skype has merely embraced and extended SIP inside a proprietary wrapper in order to solve a wider bunch of user problems. So does being a Skypehead make you the new Bellhead? Yes, but with the vital consideration that the end-to-end principle isn’t violated by Skype. Will be be getting the bill for Skype in five or ten years from now, just like we pay $60 to Bill G. when we buy a $300 PC in Wal-Mart. Possibly. But you’ll have banked a lot more value in the interim.

    I wish I’d bought Microsoft stock early on, but my mind was poisoned against it by the horrors of FAR PASCAL pointers and the ugliness of Windows compared to the elegance of Unix. I’d now be a richer man if I’d seen the bigger picture.

    I’m glad I worked for Oracle and got plenty of stock grants. I did very nicely out of it, thank you.

    If Skype does an IPO, I’ll be calling my broker.

    Posted by Martin at 02:07 PM


    Comments: (post your comment)

    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 25, 2005 12:01 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    April 24, 2005

    Hong Kong: 1Gbps Has Arrived

    New residential service launched. Converge reports that Hong Kong Broadband Network (HKBN) has officially launched its 1Gbps symmetric service for the residential market. Currently there are approximately 800,000 households, out of a total of 2.2 million households in Hong Kong, whic..
    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 24, 2005 11:48 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    Three take-aways from GOOG's blow-out quarter (1Q05 earnings)

    Google (ticker: GOOG) blew away consensus revenue and earnings estimates, driving the stock up almost 10% in late trading. Details, plus three key take-aways:

    Q1 Results
    (all percentage changes and comparisons are year on year, unless stated otherwise)

    • EPS of $1.29 blew apart the consensus estimate of $0.92.
    • Gross revenues were $1.256 billion, up 93% (and 22% sequentially). Net revenues (gross minus traffic acquisition costs) were $794 million, versus consensus of $730 million.
    • Revenue composition: Google-owned sites generated $657 million or 52% of total revenues, up 116%; revenues generated on Google’s partner sites, through AdSense programs, contributed $584 million, or 47% of total revenues, up 75%.
    • International revenues were 39% of the total, up from 35% the prior quarter, largely due to Google's partnership with AOL Europe.
    • Traffic Acquisition Costs (TAC, the portion of revenues shared with partners) was $462 million, up 57%.
    • Income from operations on a GAAP basis, was $443 million, up 186%. Income from ops was 35.2% of revenues versus 23.8%."This improvement in operating margins was primarily due to decreases in both stock-based compensation expense and TAC as a percentage of revenues."
    • Net income on a GAAP basis was $369 million or 29.4% of revenues versus $64 million or 9.8% of revenues.
    • Net cash provided by operating activities increased 155% to $530 million. Free cash flow was $387 million, up 217%.
    • Balance sheet: cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities balance of $2.507 billion at quarter end.
    • Employees: 3,482, up 15% sequentially.

    3 Key Take-Aways

    • Google is enjoying astonishing operating leverage: revenues up 93% but income from operations up 186%. Where's that coming from? Two sources:
    1. Google's own search site grew revenues 116%, and the operating leverage in that business is dramatic.
    2. Google's traffic acquisition costs grew by less than the revenues on partner sites: 57% versus 75% . That means that Google is taking a greater proportion of its partners' revenues.
    • Google's net income of $369 million was significantly greater than Yahoo's net income of $205 million. Terry Semel's claim that Yahoo is the best positioned Internet company is curious, particularly given that Yahoo's fastest profit growth is in search.
    • Google is currently the clear leader in search - according to comScore, Google's search share rose to 36% from 35% a year earlier, and leads Yahoo's share of 31%. But competition will intensify when Microsoft releases the next version of Internet Explorer with MSN Search conveniently embedded in the browser (as Google is currently the default embedded in Safari and Firefox).

    GOOG chart below.
    Goog_8

    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 24, 2005 11:17 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    China ETF update

    At present, there are two ETFs that offer US investors an opportunity to invest in China - iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index Fund (ticker: FXI), and Golden Dragon Halter USX China Portfolio Index Fund (ticker: PGJ). Here is a quick performance update:

    FXI and PGJ - Year-to-Date (YTD) Stock Market Performances:
    (FXI in green, PGJ in brown)

    Fxi_pgj_ytd_1

    But the two have moved almost in tandem over the last month and a half:

    Fxi_pgj_march

    Comment: More on China ETFs FXI and PGJ here.

    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 24, 2005 11:06 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    Adobe + Macromedia + Firefox! + Others!! - New Block??

    A friend persuaded me to look at the Adobe+Macromedia merger from a different perspective and pointed to the Knowledge@wharton article on the merger Some of the key points highlighted in the article and my comments can be found alongside and in the bottom: - The new Adobe Systems will emerge with an array of products commonly used in publishing content in the print, web worlds and have essential
    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 24, 2005 10:47 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    Book Sales as a Technology Trend Indicator

    Based on data from Neilsen Bookscan, which aggregates point-of-sale data from about 70% of US bookstores, including Amazon, Barnes & Noble, Borders, and many smaller chains and leading independent bookstores, computer book sales, which have been falling by about 20% a year since 2001, have stabilized, and started to climb again. O'Reilly's internal market research group has built a MySQL data mart containing the Bookscan data since early 2003, and uses it for visualization and trend analysis. In this posting, I draw a few conclusions based on a year-on-year comparison of 2004 and 2005. Apart from giving us some interesting technology trend indicators (C# is gaining on Java, python is gaining on perl, InDesign is eating Quark's lunch), the data may also give us some intriguing insight into other economic factors. For example, might the increase in sales of books on QuickBooks and Excel indicate a rise in small business activity?

    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 24, 2005 10:23 PM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    April 22, 2005

    Critical Firefox and Mozilla Flaws

    “Here’s a wake-up call for those who ditched Internet Explorer for Firefox, believing it’s more secure than Microsoft’s much-attacked browser: Proof-of-concept code targeting security holes in Firefox and the Mozilla Suite have started appearing on public mailing lists. An attacker could exploit the flaws to launch malicious code. But users can protect themselves by updating to Firefox 1.0.3 and Mozilla Suite 1.7.7. “These exploits allow the attacker to run arbitrary commands on Firefox before version…

    Direct and Related Links for 'Critical Firefox and Mozilla Flaws'

    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 22, 2005 01:16 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    Diebold Misled State Voting Officials

    “THE DISCLOSURE Formerly secret documents obtained by EPIC from Ohio reveal that Diebold misled state officials about the capability of its voting machines. Diebold claimed that its machines would last at least 20 years. THE ISSUE Congress is providing $3 billion over three years to replace outdated voting technology. If vendors mislead the public about the reliability of their voting machines, then taxpayers could pay twice on Election Day. THE BACKGROUND Diebold is the same…

    Direct and Related Links for 'Diebold Misled State Voting Officials'

    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 22, 2005 01:14 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    Rojo Networks Releases Public Beta

    Rojo Networks, Inc., has publicly released its RSS feed reader. The free, web-based service is being promoted as the only feed reader with social networking capabilities and tagging.

    “Millions of people, from bloggers in pajamas to professional journalists and news outlets, are dynamically creating a flow of information that is unprecedented in the history of publishing,” said CEO of Rojo Networks Chris Alden. “We created Rojo to solve the ‘information overload’ problem that so many news and information consumers suffer from today…Our goal with Rojo’s community features, tags, search, link analysis, and wizard is to make the brave new world of blogs and RSS feeds accessible and appealing to technophiles and new consumers alike”.

    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 22, 2005 01:11 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    Calacanis, Denton blogger payments exposed

    The payments made to bloggers from leading weblog networks Weblogsinc and Gawker Media have been exposed in a new article from OJR.

    Nick Denton’s Gawker Media runs on a “Complex system of compensation based on traffic, with a bonus is “banked” on good months and can’t be taken out in one month…leaving it to drop as the traffic drops in future months. traffic bonuses are weighted according to a multiplier depending on the subject matter of the blog.”

    Jason Calacanis of Weblogsinc is reported to have dropped the 50/50 model and has instead adopted a flat fee structure for bloggers ranging from $100 to $3,000 per month, and is now signing multiple bloggers per blog to accomodate part time workers.

    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 22, 2005 01:11 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack

    Intertrust Up, Macrovision Down (Alan Wexelblat)

    Faultline report published on The Reg indicating that the US Board of Patent Appeals and Interferences has ruled that InterTrust's DRM patents have precedence over Macrovision's. At least, in the US, because that's based on "first invention." However, overseas the nod usually goes to application filing date. There, Macrovision claims to have the edge, though I don't think they've gotten an official court ruling anywhere yet. InterTrust seems to believe it owns the international patents as well.

    At stake is the MPEG LA licensing group patent pool and the potential very large pot of royalties that will emerge from it as DRM starts to become an issue on mobile phones.

    Previous maunderings on the issue of mobile IP and its impacts on near-term business prospects here. Previous commentary on the InterTrust debacle over there.

    Sourced fromReblogged by dymaxion on April 22, 2005 01:09 AM | Comments (0) | TrackBack